That was the electoral week that was

So, these last few days, and these last two days in particular. Much like my reactions to Super Tuesday, I’ve only scattered thoughts at this point, because there’s been so much to trawl through — and in many cases, laugh at.

A little reminder about Iraq and the election

As if we needed another. But I noticed this post earlier today that I appreciate for a very specific reason — it didn’t pussyfoot around the domestic political implications (emphases mine):

Weekly Standard contributing editor and McCain adviser Robert Kagan writes in:

“…People can prefer one Republican candidate over another, but it strikes me as reckless to throw overboard a Republican who bears significant responsibility for helping to turn around what a year ago had seemed impending failure in Iraq. The consequences of such a defeat, needless to say, would have been catastrophic for the country and, incidentally, for the Republican party.

“…Whatever people may think about [McCain’s] positions on this or that issue, his role in that effort ought to be reason enough to be willing to support him fully and enthusiastically in the general election, especially against Democratic candidates who to this day call for immediate withdrawal from Iraq. It may also be worth pointing out that the only reason Republicans have any chance of winning in 2008 is because of the surge. Imagine a Republican running this year as the American position in Iraq crumbled, with images of defeat and slaughter on the TV every night, instead of signs of progress. People might reflect a bit on these facts before entering upon a crusade against someone who behaved with such high-minded political courage, at the apparent expense of his electoral prospects, at a time when many others tried to duck.”

Quite obviously this is a very contextual quote, addressing the reflexive — and, frankly speaking, bizarrely entertaining from my angle — revulsion towards McCain coming from a conservative wing of the GOP clutching at any straws it can find. Kagan’s a McCain man as noted and he’s arguing his corner.

But as the selections I have highlighted note, Kagan is clear about something, even if the way he phrases it is not entirely what it could be. Remember again that both the US forces in Iraq and the saner heads over here have not claimed they’ve won in Iraq, simply that things are calmer for now. Time has been bought, not fully settled and paid for (in whatever potentially horrific sense that might yet mean — and yesterday’s bombings in Baghdad aren’t helping any). But so long as Iraq can stay off the table, the GOP has a chance in November — I don’t think it’s a likely chance at this point, but neither am I thinking it’s no chance at all.

As I said the other day, the decisions made by the military and administration this year — as well as by Congress, which is where McCain and the two leading Democratic candidates all sit and will vote as the year progresses — will therefore be of particular importance. It’s worth noting that the ‘pause’ in troop reductions in Iraq Petraeus has indicated he wants is not facing immediate agreement in the Pentagon:

Senior Pentagon leaders said yesterday that Gen. David H. Petraeus’s call for a pause in troop withdrawals from Iraq this summer represents only one view on the issue — albeit an important one — and that they would recommend that President Bush also consider the stress on U.S. ground forces and other global military risks when determining future troop levels.

“I find all the talk about a freeze or a pause in Iraq so interesting,” said Adm. Michael Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.

“I know General Petraeus has said publicly he wants to be able to assess the situation after the surge brigades come home,” Mullen said at a Pentagon news conference. But he stressed that the Joint Chiefs and Adm. William Fallon, chief of U.S. Central Command, are also working on recommendations for force levels in Iraq, not in opposition to Petraeus but “from different perspectives.”

Just a little something to chew on for now. November is still a long way away.

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